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我國的“劉易斯拐點”研究——詮釋、判斷與反思

發(fā)布時間:2019-01-02 16:25
【摘要】:"劉易斯拐點"預(yù)示一國將經(jīng)歷勞動力由過剩到短缺、城鄉(xiāng)收入差距不斷縮小、由農(nóng)業(yè)大國向工業(yè)國轉(zhuǎn)變的轉(zhuǎn)型過程。本文通過利用馬克思勞動力價值實現(xiàn)程度的相關(guān)理論對我國勞動力供求狀況的分析,證實了我國農(nóng)業(yè)內(nèi)部還存在剩余勞動力以及2004年開始顯現(xiàn)出的"民工荒"的事實。但我國日益嚴(yán)重的"民工荒"浪潮并未能形成與城鄉(xiāng)收入差距縮小、農(nóng)民市民化之間的和諧互動,我國并未能出現(xiàn)與二元經(jīng)濟(jì)模型預(yù)測相一致的轉(zhuǎn)型。從根本上講,我國并未出現(xiàn)"劉易斯拐點"。
[Abstract]:Lewis inflection point indicates that a country will go through a process of transition from surplus to shortage of labor, narrowing of income gap between urban and rural areas, and transformation from a large agricultural country to an industrial country. Based on the analysis of the supply and demand of labor force in our country by using the relevant theory of the realization degree of Marx's labor force value, this paper confirms the fact that there is still surplus labor force in agriculture and the "shortage of rural workers" which began to appear in 2004. However, the increasingly serious wave of "shortage of migrant workers" in China has failed to form a harmonious interaction with the narrowing of income gap between urban and rural areas and the urbanization of farmers, and China has failed to make a transition consistent with the prediction of the dual economic model. Fundamentally speaking, our country did not appear "Lewis inflection point".
【作者單位】: 福州大學(xué)馬克思主義學(xué)院;
【基金】:福建省教育廳課題“農(nóng)民工返鄉(xiāng)創(chuàng)業(yè)與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)變研究”(JBS10032)
【分類號】:F249.21;F124
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本文編號:2398714

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